Alarmed-Meteor
0x6193a73ad4e7e3766ee4337812be9b5dd1f9d924
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$145.75
Total PnL
$-23.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
271 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$66.39
$-4.05
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
444 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.49
$0.18
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
763 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.05
$-9.44
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.77
$0.42
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.43
$-2.57
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.39Apr 29, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.75Apr 29, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.85Apr 29, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.51Apr 29, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.19Apr 29, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$9.68Apr 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$1.03Apr 29, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$1.04Apr 29, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 29, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.03Apr 29, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$5.13Apr 29, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$4.96Apr 29, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMKatie Porter drops out of the CA Gov race by Dec 31?$1.15Apr 29, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 10-20%?$0.00Apr 29, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York City Mayor election have the largest Democratic margin of victory?$0.00Apr 29, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$0.00Apr 29, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMLarger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?$0.00Apr 29, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexandra Leitão be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$0.00Apr 29, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMYoon arrested by July 15?$0.00Apr 29, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Syria by September 15?$0.00Apr 29, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $8.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".