Gracious-Walnut
0x620ed8de95d8f7ef6919e9ee1d84abacb2d12742
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$107.00
Total PnL
$-293.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 4.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$92.00
$90.00
- YES
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.6¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$12.00
$10.00
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-03-19?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on March 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- EVEN
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Man I Need" by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 28?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Club León FC win on 2026-03-18?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?$0.69Apr 28, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?$0.23Apr 28, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?$0.08Apr 28, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 28, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?$0.02Apr 27, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?$0.02Apr 27, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?$0.07Apr 27, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?$0.01Apr 27, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?$0.08Apr 27, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?$0.02Apr 27, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?$0.02Apr 27, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?$0.02Apr 27, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?$0.86Apr 27, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?$0.13Apr 27, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?$0.10Apr 27, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?$0.02Apr 27, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?$0.01Apr 27, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?$0.01Apr 27, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?$1.62Apr 27, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?$2.00Apr 24, 23:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".