Unlucky-Path
0x624e6043e7a1ede8922aa9d705e44673ea4dc791
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$556.02
Total PnL
$0.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?
548 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$547.55
$0.55
- YES
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
153 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.83
$-0.18
- YES
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
152 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.27
$0.01
- YES
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
152 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.37
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?$547.04May 17, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?$546.63May 17, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?$546.04May 16, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $4B one day after launch?$1.63May 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $5B one day after launch?$2.42May 11, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.33May 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$4.01May 11, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$0.00May 10, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 4?$556.33May 10, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 4?$555.81May 4, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 4, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$1.04May 4, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 26?$0.00Apr 27, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or higher on April 25?$0.00Apr 27, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 26?$0.00Apr 27, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?$0.00Apr 27, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 26?$0.00Apr 27, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 20-26?$154.14Apr 27, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.10 April 20-26?$154.14Apr 27, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 20-26?$156.41Apr 27, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $63.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 09:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".