Threadbare-Astronomy
0x62764005c3f58450d21da9984f6eab56cf3c2dd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$15.2K
Total PnL
$14.8K
Realised
$9.0K
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
8940 shares @ 50.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.9K
$4.4K
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
2000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.5K
$-190.00
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10824 shares @ 0.4¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$925.42
$882.81
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
2000 shares @ 65.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$919.99
$-380.00
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$642.00
$523.89
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$555.00
$436.89
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
28429 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$326.93
$215.01
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1436 shares @ 1.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$294.37
$275.55
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$225.00
$106.89
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$195.00
$76.89
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.33May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.33May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.33May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.33May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.33May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.33May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.33May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.33May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.33May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.33May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 4, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.07May 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.35May 3, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.33May 3, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.02May 3, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.33May 3, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 01:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".