Courteous-Stepfather
0x628227f9aaf1d5dd40151315d6350d4060bb3ea8
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
710 shares @ 85.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$691.54
$84.39
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$470.00
$0.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
400 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$385.00
$-1.46
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
240 shares @ 90.9¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$218.40
$0.30
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
220 shares @ 87.8¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$206.80
$13.60
- NO
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
200 shares @ 97.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$193.40
$-1.60
- NO
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$156.03
$56.03
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
120 shares @ 80.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$102.00
$6.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
98 shares @ 67.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$60.93
$-4.91
- YES
30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?
396 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-244.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$66.71May 17, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$195.19May 17, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$129.21May 17, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$96.77May 17, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$25.96May 17, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$106.07May 17, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$95.00May 17, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$1.04May 16, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$471.13May 16, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$386.46May 16, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$186.52May 16, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$62.57May 16, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$274.48May 16, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$400.00May 16, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $1.9KMay 11, 15:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $285.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".