Lumpy-Tin
0x62ad81eddc36cc1e26234c908a69277bce9779fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$956.16
Total PnL
$2.1K
Realised
$4.0K
Win rate
94%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
1442 shares @ 16.7¢·now 21.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$304.25
$63.93
- NO
Will Mayumi Tanaka as Monkey D. Luffy (ONE PIECE) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
240 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$235.32
$-2.76
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
1647 shares @ 16.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$123.52
$-150.97
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?
112 shares @ 16.7¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.28
$30.61
- YES
Will Aoi Yuki as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
240 shares @ 5.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$38.40
$25.07
- YES
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?
233 shares @ 1.6¢·now 13.6¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$31.59
$27.94
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
1173 shares @ 16.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.35
$-176.15
- YES
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
232 shares @ 4.5¢·now 7.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$18.33
$7.78
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?
159 shares @ 16.7¢·now 11.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.60
$-8.83
- YES
Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?
233 shares @ 1.6¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$6.99
$3.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.11May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the top global Netflix show this week?$1.79May 18, 01:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.32May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.67May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?$6.26May 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?$16.01May 17, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.01May 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.34May 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.03May 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.04May 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.47May 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.02May 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.02May 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.03May 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.04May 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.02May 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.02May 17, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.02May 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.02May 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?$3.25May 17, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $5.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".