0x63ab6e804a45deb0df9695611b09dd59e03da526
0x63ab6e804a45deb0df9695611b09dd59e03da526
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$27.20
Total PnL
$-14.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
9 shares @ 69.2¢·now 86.2¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$7.54
$1.48
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
8 shares @ 89.7¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.52
$0.14
- NO
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 85.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.45
$-0.72
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 91.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.48
$-0.24
- YES
Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
5 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.52
$-0.36
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.37
$-0.09
- YES
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
5 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.33
$-0.55
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?
28 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?
25 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?$5.62May 10, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?$0.54May 5, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?$1.42May 5, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?$3.44May 5, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?$2.04May 4, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?$0.46May 4, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? $0.88May 4, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?$2.89May 4, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.45May 3, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$3.90May 3, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.10May 3, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.54May 3, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?$3.09May 3, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$3.99May 3, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.72May 3, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?$2.64May 3, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.24May 3, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6.13May 3, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$7.41May 3, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$6.18May 2, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".