0x63bf159cea68e4cdb63a66140a249d19cf8ee319
0x63bf159cea68e4cdb63a66140a249d19cf8ee319
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$24.0K
Total PnL
$-51.1K
Realised
$139.51
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3727 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$281.39
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
4500 shares @ 57.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$832.49
- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
7635 shares @ 32.8¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.9K
$435.22
- NO
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
2937 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$176.23
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
4180 shares @ 62.8¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.7K
$28.41
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4400 shares @ 49.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.6K
$418.40
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
17280 shares @ 5.1¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.4K
$1.5K
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
3766 shares @ 39.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$360.83
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2500 shares @ 44.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$412.49
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
1701 shares @ 33.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$263.66
$-297.68
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$3.5KMay 13, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.0KMay 13, 00:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.74May 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.60May 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$282.05May 12, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$2.6KMay 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.1KMay 12, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$6.63May 12, 01:40 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.14May 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$5.01May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$5.12May 11, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.33May 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$70.36May 11, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $281.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".