Vivid-Macrofauna
0x63d43bbb87f85af03b8f2f9e2fad7b54334fa2f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$498.5K
Total PnL
$27.9K
Realised
$61.1K
Win rate
92%
178 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
483092 shares @ 91.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$461.4K
$17.8K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
45069 shares @ 51.4¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.2K
$14.0K
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
240826 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-977.51
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
239320 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-963.02
- YES
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
237961 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-964.93
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
237768 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-957.97
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
237551 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-968.97
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
236861 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-956.68
- YES
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
236657 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-964.38
- YES
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
236409 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-954.62
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.90May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)$3.0KMay 17, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)$681.17May 17, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)$278.82May 17, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$7.69May 17, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)$2.0KMay 17, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$16.16May 17, 02:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$36.19May 16, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)$2.0KMay 16, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)$894.78May 16, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)$2.0KMay 16, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)$1.2KMay 16, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)$854.62May 16, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.3KMay 16, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00May 16, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Forsyth finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00May 16, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Chiabra finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00May 16, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fernando Olivera finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00May 16, 04:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $2.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 178 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".