Brilliant-Blood
0x63d80c8bd24fe99e60bc7d3c674ec1b27858e2ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$8.9K
Total PnL
$-33.8K
Realised
$-22.1K
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
5556 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.1K
$83.34
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
12150 shares @ 7.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$729.00
$-185.17
- NO
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
637 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$632.42
$22.42
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
543 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$535.79
$5.19
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
6600 shares @ 8.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$429.00
$-160.99
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
250 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$249.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
222 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.11
$1.11
- NO
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
215 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$196.77
$-3.23
- NO
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
156 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$155.29
$0.71
- NO
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?
102 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$101.73
$1.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$200.80May 16, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$200.56May 16, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?$100.01May 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 PGA Championship?$100.02May 16, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?$100.03May 16, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?$100.03May 16, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?$100.05May 16, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.0KMay 16, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$333.33May 16, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$702.43May 16, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.4KMay 16, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.4KMay 16, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$9.8KMay 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$292.46May 11, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$292.90May 11, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$24.00May 10, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 9?$24.07May 10, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$53.60May 9, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$104.58May 9, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 9, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $367.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 20:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".