Vapid-Mechanic
0x63e30d708e4f5ad12581730e5fbaf0e53646f341
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$806.70
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
4555 shares @ 72.4¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.3K
$2.45
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
1925 shares @ 51.9¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$87.40
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
2005 shares @ 49.9¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$681.75
$-318.25
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
602 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$557.23
$57.23
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
689 shares @ 58.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$417.06
$17.06
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3308 shares @ 18.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$413.44
$-186.55
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
879 shares @ 39.9¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$355.85
$4.85
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1284 shares @ 39.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$320.91
$-179.09
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
1873 shares @ 18.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$252.83
$-97.16
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
6764 shares @ 4.4¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$226.60
$-73.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$50.00May 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$50.00May 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$10.00May 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$100.00May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$196.46May 17, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$37.60May 17, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$2.0KMay 16, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$50.00May 16, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.1KMay 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$50.00May 15, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$50.00May 15, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$20.73May 15, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$103.76May 15, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$100.00May 14, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$100.00May 14, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$77.92May 14, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 14, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$11.22May 14, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$9.30May 14, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$100.00May 14, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $183.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".