Murky-Chow
0x6406102b2a67e987021169910c178ac8aa7dbc04
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$632.81
Total PnL
$-39.90
Realised
$-7.33
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
147 shares @ 68.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$100.53
$-0.22
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
89 shares @ 66.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$56.55
$-2.19
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
84 shares @ 64.8¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.27
$-0.25
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$48.55
$-0.45
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
104 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$41.04
$-1.56
- NO
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?
47 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$33.60
$0.23
- YES
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
54 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$29.97
$-0.27
- NO
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 2% and 3%?
41 shares @ 69.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$28.49
$0.20
- NO
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
33 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$23.59
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$12.00May 18, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$41.00May 18, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?$6.30May 18, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00May 18, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.44May 18, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$74.17May 18, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?$12.15May 18, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$112.88May 18, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$28.00May 18, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$11.12May 18, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$20.24May 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$62.92May 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4.40May 18, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$83.28May 18, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.41May 18, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$30.80May 18, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$11.20May 18, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4.71May 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.75May 18, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00May 18, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $41.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".