Wilted-Sonata
0x643f9d7d7984c437c68aeff3f1b3c192a4d36663
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$594.79
Total PnL
$-192.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
488 shares @ 30.7¢·now 30.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$149.76
$-0.24
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
119 shares @ 42.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.71
$10.71
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
78 shares @ 64.4¢·now 64.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
189 shares @ 21.2¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$47.83
$7.83
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$42.95
$-7.05
- YES
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
162 shares @ 28.3¢·now 26.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$42.84
$-2.87
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
98 shares @ 44.8¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.46
$-1.28
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
106 shares @ 47.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.96
$-9.04
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
82 shares @ 61.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.57
$-9.43
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$28.36
$8.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$5.19May 17, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$50.00May 17, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$20.67May 17, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$50.00May 17, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$60.61May 17, 01:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$31.17May 15, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$25.35May 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$50.00May 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.39May 15, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMParis: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva$41.67May 15, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$20.50May 15, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$55.00May 15, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?$10.59May 15, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva$20.31May 15, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?$73.53May 15, 04:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?$51.12May 14, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $29.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 19:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".