Bumpy-Telephone
0x6478c297bae6ac98423f02d7cbec3ba2a42d49f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-464.61
Realised
$262.61
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
750 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$750.00
$352.50
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
408 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$279.48
$6.12
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
275 shares @ 49.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$192.50
$57.75
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
256 shares @ 74.1¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$165.76
$-23.94
- NO
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?
79 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$79.00
$9.48
- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
73 shares @ 15.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.59
$26.64
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
29 shares @ 18.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.97
$2.75
- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.00
$0.50
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
814 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-203.50
- YES
Will there be exactly three announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?
540 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-113.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$202.88Apr 21, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?$221.13Apr 21, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?$221.62Apr 21, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$6.00Apr 21, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$112.32Apr 21, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$89.04Apr 21, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$62.26Apr 21, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$26.18Apr 21, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$34.10Apr 21, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?$82.80Apr 13, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?$170.16Apr 13, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$467.88Apr 12, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$198.72Apr 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?$85.12Apr 12, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?$576.75Apr 12, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?$21.65Apr 12, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?$605.20Apr 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?$89.11Apr 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$104.42Apr 12, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$20.81Apr 12, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $241.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".