Free-Garden
0x647ec9ce7ce9e6ed808d2eadf668fffcf9cc88c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-687.92
Realised
$5.38
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
1207 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.2K
$0.60
- NO
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?
463 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$463.00
$74.08
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1 shares @ 51.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.40
$-0.12
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
1 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$-0.09
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
846 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-270.72
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?
700 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-196.00
- NO
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?
453 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-54.36
- OVER
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
364 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-112.84
- NO
Will Keir Starmer say "International" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
318 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-120.84
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on November 28, 2025?
48 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?$388.92Apr 8, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans$20.00Apr 7, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$260.00Apr 7, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLHouthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$110.32Mar 30, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$92.59Mar 30, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?$48.88Mar 26, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?$43.24Mar 26, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?$23.00Mar 25, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?$26.00Mar 25, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?$47.94Mar 24, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?$19.55Mar 23, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?$23.80Mar 23, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUnit FDV above $1B one day after launch?$44.66Mar 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnit FDV above $1B one day after launch?$40.60Mar 20, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$40.80Mar 19, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$40.00Mar 17, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?$5.67Mar 16, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?$34.00Mar 16, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?$47.79Mar 14, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$48.00Mar 13, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $93.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 00:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".