Surprised-Article
0x6491bc1d38a8715d5eccd066c57602af697b74b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$747.47
Total PnL
$-361.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
3303 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$181.66
$-51.19
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
162 shares @ 67.3¢·now 65.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$105.34
$-3.66
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
404 shares @ 23.5¢·now 19.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$78.86
$-16.13
- NO
X banned in any European country by December 31?
90 shares @ 49.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.34
$13.34
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$51.50
$26.50
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
153 shares @ 19.2¢·now 29.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$44.39
$14.93
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$36.46
$-13.42
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
78 shares @ 38.5¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.25
$-1.75
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
58 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$20.46
$0.57
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.54
$5.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$5.14May 17, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.06May 17, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$1.94May 17, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$5.14May 17, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$3.09May 17, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$5.14May 17, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$5.13May 17, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$5.14May 17, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$10.15May 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$5.15May 17, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.98May 17, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$15.66May 17, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$29.35May 17, 07:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.38May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$2.48May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 22:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".