Careful-Buying
0x64a0bf426d355eb92887d01fdf386594eaf0866e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$11.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1004 shares @ 58.5¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$353.88
$-233.34
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
943 shares @ 31.8¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$339.53
$39.53
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
2784 shares @ 36.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$208.83
$-807.81
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
1317 shares @ 26.6¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$111.91
$-238.02
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.62
$1.61
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 25.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.50
$-46.50
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?
1942 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-154.48
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
182 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$300.00May 17, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100.00May 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$463.87May 8, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$5.00May 8, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$10.50May 8, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$214.11May 8, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?$10.00Apr 22, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?$6.18Apr 22, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?$3.57Apr 21, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$100.00Apr 21, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$0.00Apr 21, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$0.00Apr 21, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$28.39Apr 19, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$50.00Apr 19, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$100.00Apr 19, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$0.60Apr 19, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$1.00Apr 19, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$22.45Apr 16, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $70.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".