Motionless-Dish
0x64b460a36d9d160816e6ae799ff117a9cc1e055e
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$225.41
Total PnL
$-477.13
Realised
$45.26
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
5542 shares @ 4.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.94
$-104.27
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
4457 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.65
$-28.47
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
728 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.75
$-5.93
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
2721 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-14.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
2481 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
2191 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
2070 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-42.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
1684 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
1328 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$6.93May 3, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$11.11May 3, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$34.81May 3, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$11.31May 3, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$34.75May 3, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$84.93May 3, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$28.43May 3, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$38.96May 3, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$55.13May 3, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$10.70May 3, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$25.90May 3, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$11.87May 3, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$6.57May 3, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$16.10May 3, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$14.82May 2, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$6.60May 2, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$4.64May 2, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$5.41May 2, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$2.30May 2, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$20.99May 2, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $22.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 18:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".