Flickering-Value
0x64db84746e703cc03e24b31d0ff248e36cc189bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-206.10
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
11107 shares @ 9.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$499.80
$-561.85
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2261 shares @ 19.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$395.67
$-53.84
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1756 shares @ 26.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$202.00
$-254.64
- YES
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
819 shares @ 23.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$126.90
$-62.59
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
7530 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$112.94
$-414.12
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 64.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.15
$0.48
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
5 shares @ 48.2¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.22
$-2.25
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
13242 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
1497 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-210.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$28.00May 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$28.14Apr 20, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$51.84Apr 19, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$20.91Apr 19, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$30.93Apr 19, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$416.85Apr 19, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$178.45Apr 19, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$400.00Apr 19, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$637.32Apr 19, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.08Apr 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$8.56Apr 16, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$242.00Apr 16, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$42.79Apr 16, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$11.19Apr 16, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$22.67Apr 16, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$22.50Apr 16, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$151.41Apr 16, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$63.19Apr 15, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$26.44Apr 15, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$65.00Apr 15, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $92.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".