Jovial-Firm
0x64fb95c5194491e52cd0a8c488246b7594aff27c
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$13.2K
Total PnL
$-86.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
4500 shares @ 91.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.1K
$6.75
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4540 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.7K
$1.4K
- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4842 shares @ 73.5¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.5K
$-98.10
- YES
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4842 shares @ 21.4¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.0K
$5.01
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4540 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$846.66
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.50May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.44May 17, 00:13 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.5KMay 16, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.1KMay 11, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$1.1KMay 11, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by May 31?$2.2KMay 11, 15:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.59May 8, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$4.1KMay 7, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$1.1KMay 7, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$2.2KMay 7, 05:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.94May 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.1KMay 6, 23:36 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.6KMay 6, 23:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.94May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.94May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.67May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.59May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.72May 1, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.66Apr 30, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $665.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".