Near-Tell
0x651a84ec4aab705bb3d8f4c831ef46ecdbc622e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$267.05
Total PnL
$64.63
Realised
$35.53
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
150 shares @ 60.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$97.07
$5.68
- YES
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
178 shares @ 35.7¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$53.41
$-10.09
- NO
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
33 shares @ 78.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.13
$2.62
- YES
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
50 shares @ 31.9¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$20.05
$4.28
- YES
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
54 shares @ 21.2¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$14.56
$3.11
- YES
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
24 shares @ 47.9¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$13.25
$1.92
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 0.8¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.87
$4.72
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 0.6¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.63
$3.57
- YES
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?
15 shares @ 11.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.53
$1.84
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 5.1¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.32
$0.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$11.35May 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$5.67May 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$22.70May 17, 13:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$5.00May 16, 02:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?$1.05May 15, 08:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$6.30May 14, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$5.40May 14, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$3.00May 14, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$0.51May 14, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$2.90May 14, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?$1.69May 14, 14:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.20May 13, 07:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.08May 12, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.12May 12, 22:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".