Thoughtful-Alternative
0x65d0f1193c08a2d64e34393ea9cedec87aebef39
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$688.01
Total PnL
$-682.61
Realised
$61.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
270 shares @ 74.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$131.08
$-68.92
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
120 shares @ 83.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$119.05
$19.05
- NO
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?
112 shares @ 89.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$109.93
$9.93
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
115 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$99.43
$-0.57
- NO
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
141 shares @ 70.9¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$97.35
$-2.65
- YES
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?
136 shares @ 73.8¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$90.81
$-9.19
- YES
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
57 shares @ 47.8¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.35
$13.19
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?
1063 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?
649 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)
340 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-106.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$290.98May 11, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$23.33May 11, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$104.12May 11, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$100.00Apr 20, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$200.00Apr 20, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$163.93Apr 8, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$142.56Apr 8, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$100.00Apr 2, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 2, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 2, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$100.00Apr 2, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$200.00Apr 2, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 2, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $700 in March?$100.00Apr 2, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$114.94Apr 2, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$130.95Apr 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$100.00Mar 30, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$129.14Mar 30, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$100.00Mar 26, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $700 in March?$13.26Mar 24, 06:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $87.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 01:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".