Scornful-Caramel
0x65f773dcfab40530900e442c4120daa140f0cdce
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-255.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
1036 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.0K
$-0.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
122 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$121.69
$0.18
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
40 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$39.76
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 13?
24 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$24.00
$0.02
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
23 shares @ 94.6¢·now 93.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$21.55
$-0.21
- NO
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
19 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$18.02
$-0.07
- NO
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
17 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$16.97
$0.26
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10412 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.62
$-5.21
- NO
Natural Disaster in 2026?
18 shares @ 68.4¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.06
$1.06
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1531 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.30
$-0.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.2KMay 15, 09:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$665.40May 14, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.05May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$705.08May 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$94.00May 14, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.54May 14, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.32May 14, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$681.75May 14, 03:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.1KMay 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$11.16May 13, 07:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$39.81May 12, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$11.28May 12, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 13?$23.98May 12, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.2KMay 12, 02:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $468.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 01:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".