Frugal-Story
0x66c28dca831cf453ff956a157fe77bb9eee785f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-73.36
Realised
$-16.61
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1608 shares @ 19.4¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$699.61
$387.40
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
422 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$404.82
$54.82
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
43 shares @ 82.8¢·now 86.3¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$37.50
$1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 20?
9501 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 7?
1185 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-31.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 7?
775 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-29.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 7?
750 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 9?
746 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-41.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 7?
698 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on April 7?
615 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-28.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$352.38May 15, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$36.25May 15, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$24.64Apr 23, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 8?$20.09Apr 21, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 20?$1.81Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 20?$0.15Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 55°F or below on April 20?$0.15Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 20?$2.66Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 20?$1.36Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 20?$6.61Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 20?$1.32Apr 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 20?$0.39Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 20?$3.35Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on April 20?$1.61Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 20?$3.83Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 20?$10.00Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 20?$0.89Apr 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 20?$0.54Apr 20, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 20?$1.96Apr 20, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 20?$3.24Apr 20, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".