Knowing-Draw
0x6715731230a313d50bac855d51bc4f131defeb49
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$724.22
Total PnL
$-313.66
Realised
$-35.42
Win rate
25%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
11327 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$84.95
$-283.47
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
100 shares @ 36.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$58.50
$22.50
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.27
$2.27
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 13.0¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$45.63
$13.13
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$41.63
$1.63
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
43 shares @ 83.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$33.33
$-2.49
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.38
$-6.63
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
72 shares @ 18.4¢·now 38.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$27.47
$14.22
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
105 shares @ 14.1¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$24.99
$10.22
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
54 shares @ 23.4¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$23.32
$10.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$0.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)$0.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMTrabzonspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5$0.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner$0.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Orenburg win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$0.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$0.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$0.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)$0.00May 18, 03:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?$1.10May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-17?$0.77May 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.06May 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)$0.65May 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrabzonspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5$0.75May 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)$1.02May 17, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $0.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".