Mortified-Carpenter
0x67192a49822b4c1a1ec47c965cb139ca75651e71
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
195
Open notional
$60.24
Total PnL
$-443.84
Realised
$-19.24
Win rate
9%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 195- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.35
$0.35
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.29
$0.35
- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.29
$0.41
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.15
$0.15
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
12 shares @ 24.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.12
$0.24
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
9 shares @ 31.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.10
$0.31
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8 shares @ 34.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.04
$0.32
- YES
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 29.2¢·now 29.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.97
$0.05
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
13 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.92
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$2.79May 18, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?$2.39May 18, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$2.94May 18, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2.38May 18, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$3.41May 18, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.39May 18, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.92May 18, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$2.03May 17, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$1.97May 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.85May 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.77May 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.98May 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum flipped in 2026?$2.74May 17, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$2.52May 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?$2.09May 17, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$2.97May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein storage units raided in 2026?$2.85May 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$2.87May 17, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$3.08May 16, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.87May 16, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 01:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".