Trusting-Pavement
0x67c8bdf736ef5cb7396238a0ad685adf484cec9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$51.37
Total PnL
$-94.28
Realised
$-11.33
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
930 shares @ 8.1¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.85
$-33.19
- YES
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?
351 shares @ 13.6¢·now 2.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.03
$-40.82
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
4 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.45
$0.02
- YES
Will Marcin Tybura be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 8.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.37
$-2.63
- YES
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.20May 11, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.00May 11, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$3.51May 11, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?$12.78May 5, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$14.50May 5, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.70May 4, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat?$0.80May 4, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$0.90May 4, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3.70May 4, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?$3.68May 4, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.20May 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.66May 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$0.80May 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$0.85May 4, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.87May 4, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.97May 4, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00May 4, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00May 4, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.00May 4, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump resign before 2027?$1.10May 4, 17:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".