Vain-Fairness
0x68147892a0bbb693f3e825c674c8760826014d2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$5.9K
Total PnL
$-77.31
Realised
$91.52
Win rate
66%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5677 shares @ 50.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$2.4K
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5677 shares @ 50.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$422.94
$-2.4K
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.50
$30.50
- YES
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
119 shares @ 5.5¢·now 26.9¢·exp May 24, 2026$32.02
$25.43
- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 10.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.81
$22.41
- YES
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
46 shares @ 7.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.04
$15.83
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
89 shares @ 7.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.62
$8.42
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.75
$9.75
- YES
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
200 shares @ 5.9¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.60
$1.80
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
47 shares @ 5.8¢·now 23.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.32
$8.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.62May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.62May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.55May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$99.99May 14, 02:54 UTC
- SPLITWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.7KMay 14, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$100.00May 14, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.71May 14, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?$15.61May 14, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$100.00May 14, 02:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $8.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".