Second-Domain
0x682dbb961b8b4c4c99d9d56557d5ad68847e4cd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.3K
Total PnL
$-7.9K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
80%
109 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
2277 shares @ 90.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.3K
$198.94
- NO
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1750 shares @ 48.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$669.49
- NO
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1403 shares @ 74.9¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$236.57
- YES
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
509 shares @ 80.6¢·now 96.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$492.11
$81.62
- NO
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
500 shares @ 68.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$432.47
$88.17
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
800 shares @ 43.7¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$252.00
$-98.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
590 shares @ 50.9¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$215.35
$-85.12
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
2138 shares @ 22.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$203.16
$-269.55
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
350 shares @ 72.9¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$201.25
$-53.75
- NO
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
231 shares @ 83.4¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$198.51
$5.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$0.44May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$0.56May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$0.70May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$0.07May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$0.59May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$0.06May 18, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.02May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.01May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.03May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.05May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.01May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.07May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.01May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.22May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.14May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.16May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.03May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$0.08May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$0.31May 18, 04:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 109 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".