Irresponsible-Pecan
0x682e388668c2da2c40631665dea992b8a72b70bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$28.1K
Total PnL
$-25.2K
Realised
$436.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
19579 shares @ 72.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.4K
$-793.79
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
9859 shares @ 91.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.5K
$493.84
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
7351 shares @ 43.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.2K
$-919.73
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
13332 shares @ 18.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$-1.1K
- NO
Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?
1055 shares @ 75.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.0K
$230.70
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
3600 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$288.00
$-216.00
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
5000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$87.50
$-112.50
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
1186 shares @ 8.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.07
$-22.93
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
300000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-349.80
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
10644 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$10.63May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$9.63May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$442.10May 17, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$6.3KMay 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$717.60May 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$18.99May 17, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3.67May 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3.83May 17, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$416.14May 17, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$19.20May 17, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.39May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.60May 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$19.44May 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.85May 17, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.39May 17, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.39May 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.80May 17, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$49.45May 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.39May 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.53May 17, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $211.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".