Hilarious-Notebook
0x686771a2681280b51b5075f6c987b838989af806
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.15
Total PnL
$-62.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?
2750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.13
$-6.88
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
450 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.02
$-6.97
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
3236 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-16.18
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1700 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?
916 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?
469 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$0.00May 6, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?$4.02May 6, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.07May 6, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$5.36May 6, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$11.79May 2, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?$9.64May 2, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$10.50Apr 28, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$16.18Apr 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$9.00Mar 17, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$4.00Mar 17, 22:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $7.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 22:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 17:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".