Defiant-Clogs
0x688496472c6553c739b1ec2cc1431ee55810417c
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
132
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-189.71
Realised
$940.71
Win rate
81%
108 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5020 shares @ 2.3¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$217.88
$103.92
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
628 shares @ 19.3¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$117.12
$-4.21
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7067 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$81.27
$-29.41
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
454 shares @ 20.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.42
$-15.31
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
541 shares @ 15.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.00
$-8.59
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
330 shares @ 10.8¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.95
$35.20
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5627 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$64.71
$-2.63
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2725 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$64.04
$1.50
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7071 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$45.96
$2.96
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5758 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.18
$3.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.57May 17, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.73May 17, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.07May 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.31May 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.59May 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.68May 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.54May 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.44May 17, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.25May 17, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.43May 17, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.88May 17, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.68May 17, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.35May 17, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.44May 17, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.12May 17, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.37May 17, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.54May 17, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$3.34May 17, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$12.32May 17, 03:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 108 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".