Tepid-Loquat
0x689d9bd6129a60f1c0d3a08936ca07da432d66e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$106.25
Realised
$108.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
838 shares @ 80.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$733.25
$58.09
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
800 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$619.99
$12.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
600 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$542.97
$15.00
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
900 shares @ 46.8¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$317.69
$-103.80
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
480 shares @ 60.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$261.60
$-26.40
- YES
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
472 shares @ 26.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.59
$37.79
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
21 shares @ 65.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.59
$4.94
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.05Apr 22, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$234.00Apr 20, 17:47 UTC
- REWARD$1.47Apr 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$280.00Apr 16, 20:30 UTC
- REWARD$1.74Apr 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$441.16Apr 12, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.17Apr 11, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.26Apr 11, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.52Apr 11, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$75.06Apr 8, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$113.47Apr 8, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 15?$0.00Apr 8, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 15?$100.00Apr 7, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 15?$39.99Apr 7, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 15?$5.01Apr 7, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 15?$108.90Apr 7, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 15?$1.10Apr 7, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 15?$208.00Apr 7, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$120.00Apr 5, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.28Apr 3, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $100.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 03:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".