Tough-Tick
0x68d81b530f0696cda4f2757e4af75761815aaf58
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-16.3K
Realised
$58.59
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 37.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$-602.50
- YES
Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.61
$-26.39
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
220 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.51
$-0.33
- NO
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
40 shares @ 43.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.00
$-14.20
- YES
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.10
$-5.90
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
14314 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-728.89
- NO
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
13481 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-793.76
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 12?
6544 shares @ 68.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.5K
- YES
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
4735 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-987.79
- YES
Will Elden Ring: Nightreign win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
4650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?$1.75May 8, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$1.06May 8, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?$13.21May 8, 12:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 2, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $4.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".