Soggy-Brilliant
0x69672d76dd8512c0bc961c7b3c41fe173d7184bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$20.6K
Total PnL
$-64.8K
Realised
$609.62
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
6793 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.1K
$33.97
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
5100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.8K
$283.05
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
4000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.5K
$60.68
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
2079 shares @ 74.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.6K
$72.75
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2100 shares @ 60.9¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.2K
$-71.49
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2800 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.0K
$-21.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
1400 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$916.97
$35.00
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$310.00
$-290.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
1000 shares @ 40.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$310.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
600 shares @ 54.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$267.00
$-57.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?$999.99May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?$144.28May 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?$3.60May 17, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?$506.73May 17, 09:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.26May 17, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$7.7KMay 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$433.45May 16, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$2.29May 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$26.99May 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$13.49May 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$40.48May 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$6.6KMay 16, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$85.00May 16, 15:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.55May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 15?$4.8KMay 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 15?$4.84May 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 15?$98.80May 15, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $380.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 14:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".