Polished-Foray
0x6992d56559dd30b5b5d0f5ca3d5427f9e94e6c1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$21.9K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
19100 shares @ 26.4¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.0K
$977.65
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
5174 shares @ 66.8¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.2K
$-224.26
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
8400 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$-42.84
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
14000 shares @ 12.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$148.06
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
3442 shares @ 33.7¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$54.74
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
2200 shares @ 54.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$924.00
$-264.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
100626 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$754.70
$87.95
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
5740 shares @ 18.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$660.10
$-384.58
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
5416 shares @ 16.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$622.81
$-270.84
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
879 shares @ 50.4¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$575.58
$133.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$9.00May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.78May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$26.19May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?$246.00May 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.75May 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.28May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.07May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.58May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.27May 18, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.40May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.56May 18, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.18May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.25May 18, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.44May 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.76May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.71May 18, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00May 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.28May 18, 03:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".