Crazy-Icon
0x6996447ae9db5a6dad323b7285b04f2fbf8bcf9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$496.97
Win rate
61%
66 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- YES
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
2142 shares @ 70.5¢·now 67.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$-70.15
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
4646 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$44.13
$-12.11
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
108 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.33
$-3.25
- YES
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
24 shares @ 0.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.27
$1.22
- YES
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1700 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.85
$-12.75
- YES
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
14 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.22
$0.20
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?
6233 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-70.07
- TEAM YANDEX
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
6037 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-11.46
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 46 million views on day 3?
5264 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-31.71
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 68 million views on day 3?
4722 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-150.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$10.00May 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?$0.40May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 48 million or more views on day 2?$0.52May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$3.29May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$376.79May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$2.00May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$43.44May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?$0.40May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$2.10May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$0.91May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$15.05May 18, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$44.10May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$2.10May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$9.90May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 48 million or more views on day 2?$0.26May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 48 million or more views on day 2?$0.15May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 48 million or more views on day 2?$0.95May 18, 03:52 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.37May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$590.75May 17, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$0.26May 17, 21:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $36.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 66 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".