Valid-Defense
0x69aa9fa621403e3a121b29ad77d32ba9eb5e8847
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$497.3K
Total PnL
$6.4K
Realised
$126.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
196235 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$193.6K
$2.4K
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
104098 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$104.0K
$1.8K
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
63330 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$62.9K
$1.0K
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
41107 shares @ 90.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$38.4K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
23132 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$23.1K
$57.65
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
19617 shares @ 98.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.7K
$-657.15
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
18242 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$18.1K
$76.13
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
17398 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.1K
$-147.89
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
10531 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.5K
$106.96
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5767 shares @ 84.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.3K
$418.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$13.8KMay 18, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$19.80May 18, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$990.00May 18, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$982.74May 18, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.1KMay 18, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$19.8KMay 18, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$60.34May 18, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$7.85May 18, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$34.04May 18, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$53.82May 18, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$14.69May 18, 00:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$18.61May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.6KMay 18, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$600.00May 17, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$337.15May 17, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.2KMay 17, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$494.50May 17, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$44.9KMay 17, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$594.18May 17, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$31.50May 17, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$13.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 18, 03:30 UTC → May 18, 03:24 UTC
- BUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$13.8K@99¢May 18, 03:24 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$13.8K
1 trades
30d volume
$13.8K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
$13.8K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".