Entire-Muffin
0x69d3a77437f2ef6e6563d8797e0928fb93b233e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$56.20
Total PnL
$-96.37
Realised
$-9.85
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
61 shares @ 21.6¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.32
$-1.77
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
11 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.48
$1.13
- YES
Will "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?
58 shares @ 1.9¢·now 13.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.93
$6.83
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
17 shares @ 26.4¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.05
$-0.34
- YES
Will "Six Seven" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?
7 shares @ 83.7¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$3.97
$-1.96
- YES
Kash Patel out by May 31?
33 shares @ 26.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.18
$-5.51
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 73.7¢·now 75.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.30
$0.06
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.98
$0.14
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 20.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.81
$-3.02
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.76
$0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?$10.23May 18, 01:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?$3.03May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Six Seven" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$4.57May 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.42May 17, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$4.07May 17, 03:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$5.04May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamoud Abu Hassoun as Loid Forger (Childhood) (SPY x FAMILY Season 3) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$1.05May 16, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.62May 16, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$2.05May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?$2.07May 16, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$2.09May 16, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$1.09May 16, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?$1.57May 16, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?$1.15May 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$1.54May 16, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?$1.09May 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?$1.91May 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?$1.56May 16, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".