Elaborate-Recapitulation
0x6a3dfdb561e8ef2a84ea2da044a284765804e38c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
165
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-799.51
Realised
$-139.72
Win rate
23%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 165- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
1071 shares @ 38.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$487.48
$80.50
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
1180 shares @ 19.5¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$253.64
$23.64
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
6286 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$84.87
$-60.69
- YES
US x China Military clash before 2027?
816 shares @ 6.9¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.99
$-7.36
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
286 shares @ 14.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$48.57
$8.57
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
234 shares @ 15.8¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.45
$0.45
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
93 shares @ 27.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.11
$11.11
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
561 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$33.37
$-50.63
- YES
Trump out as President by May 31?
4033 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.12
$-22.88
- YES
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?
23 shares @ 61.1¢·now 48.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x China Military clash before 2027?$50.00May 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$2.90May 12, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$3.15May 10, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$10.00May 9, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$25.85May 9, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$93.29May 9, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$35.00May 9, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$20.00May 9, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$20.00May 9, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$20.00May 9, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$49.95May 9, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$197.09May 9, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$1.00May 9, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$2.00May 9, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$5.00May 9, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China Military clash before 2027?$5.00May 9, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$5.00May 9, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?$10.16May 9, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$30.00May 9, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$51.47May 9, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $23.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 14:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".