Sparkling-Danger
0x6a688f95975d851a8638ec9e96759081b8a39209
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
58773 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$675.89
$-824.05
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
250000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$625.00
$-375.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
5000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$575.00
$75.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1379 shares @ 29.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$434.48
$34.48
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
328 shares @ 23.4¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$257.32
$180.65
- YES
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
6108 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Oracle buy TikTok?
246 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-32.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$400.00May 12, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$500.00May 12, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$524.50May 10, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.0KApr 30, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.0KApr 30, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$76.67Dec 2, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?$1.9KJan 26, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill X buy TikTok?$76.92Jan 26, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?$95.00Jan 26, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?$1.0KJan 22, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle buy TikTok?$2.80Jan 22, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle buy TikTok?$29.39Jan 22, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?$100.00Jan 22, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill X buy TikTok?$100.00Jan 22, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?$1.5KJan 22, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?$148.06Jan 21, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?$300.00Jan 21, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$291.87Jan 21, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?$300.00Jan 21, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?$1.3KJan 21, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $534.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".