Crowded-Ring
0x6a8604701d472f663de6fb6625cf33bc303e927e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$130.16
Total PnL
$-165.99
Realised
$2.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
50 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$14.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
50 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.00
$20.50
- YES
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
100 shares @ 52.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.50
$-26.00
- YES
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 52.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.45
$-4.35
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.20
$-3.69
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?
2577 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-144.61
- YES
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$112.61Mar 16, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$29.50Mar 16, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$36.00Mar 16, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$1.28Feb 19, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$2.56Feb 19, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$16.00Feb 19, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$156.42Feb 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$12.06Feb 17, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.93Feb 17, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$64.98Jan 27, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$6.02Jan 26, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$598.80Jan 26, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?$20.00Jan 20, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$2.76Jan 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$0.11Jan 16, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$0.52Jan 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$98.43Jan 16, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$5.20Jan 8, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$16.11Jan 6, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$23.17Jan 6, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $120.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".