0x6aa953012725054d9034fdd3a7663559fbeede68
0x6aa953012725054d9034fdd3a7663559fbeede68
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$21.02
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- SAN DIEGO PADRES
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$1.00May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 18, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.01May 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.01May 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?$1.00May 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?$0.00May 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?$1.00May 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?$0.00May 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.01May 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$0.00May 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.01May 17, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$1.00May 16, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00May 14, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?$1.00May 14, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.00May 14, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".