Anguished-Mistake
0x6b604862b9758e194f7f6fa77764c77f7d5e4007
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$13.55
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-119.88
Win rate
8%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 18.1¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
29 shares @ 17.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17 shares @ 11.8¢·now 13.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.33
$0.33
- YES
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.44
$-2.56
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
19 shares @ 10.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-1.56
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
3472 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
651 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-394.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
299 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-127.66
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?
273 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.09May 15, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.19May 15, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.06May 15, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.09May 15, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.11May 15, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.11May 15, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.11May 15, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.11May 15, 09:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$4.02May 12, 11:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$30.77May 11, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$28.18May 11, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$28.28May 11, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$28.02May 11, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $20.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".