Honest-Drink
0x6bd1067bbe61ac11766d3d1d451b458a5e29ed0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$622.00
Total PnL
$-118.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$220.50
$-4.50
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$95.85
$2.85
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
100 shares @ 89.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$91.45
$1.85
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$84.50
$-8.50
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
760 shares @ 7.6¢·now 9.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$74.10
$16.34
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
30 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.75
$1.65
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 71.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$19.04
$-2.25
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$8.81
$-1.19
- YES
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?
70 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?
50 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$26.10May 17, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$21.54May 17, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$16.85Apr 2, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?$17.05Apr 2, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?$17.44Apr 2, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$18.52Apr 2, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$40.00Apr 2, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$300.00Apr 2, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$10.00Mar 25, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?$0.00Mar 19, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright? $50.00Mar 19, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$149.99Mar 19, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$35.48Mar 17, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$7.26Mar 15, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$4.00Mar 15, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$298.80Mar 15, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$4.04Mar 15, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$64.60Mar 15, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$2.39Mar 13, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$3.32Mar 13, 04:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $31.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 03:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".