Ill-Informed-Plagiarism
0x6c2a2c4f9a6c0590aaf8e173176177fa9eb42cdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$107.04
Total PnL
$-51.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
25 shares @ 55.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.51
$9.91
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
44 shares @ 31.6¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.99
$5.94
- YES
X banned in any European country by December 31?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.75
$7.75
- YES
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.15
$2.25
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
38 shares @ 46.3¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.45
$-8.95
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
14 shares @ 69.7¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.82
$-2.18
- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.97
$-3.03
- YES
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?
21 shares @ 47.6¢·now 17.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.57
$-6.43
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Oilers$4.94Apr 29, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.50Apr 27, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.60Apr 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$2.90Apr 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 8, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$7.40Apr 8, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$1.20Apr 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$0.94Apr 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$1.33Apr 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$1.33Apr 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$5.20Apr 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.40Apr 5, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.40Apr 5, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$10.20Apr 5, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$3.85Apr 5, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$6.90Apr 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.10Apr 4, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.60Apr 3, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.60Apr 3, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.00Apr 3, 02:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".