Subtle-Creditor
0x6c2a50ee968898c5d50de31b04544f8d3329b7b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$733.51
Total PnL
$-214.90
Realised
$-133.29
Win rate
53%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
112 shares @ 86.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$110.86
$14.27
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
108 shares @ 94.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$106.39
$4.52
- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
74 shares @ 69.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$61.90
$10.38
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
63 shares @ 89.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$59.81
$2.90
- NO
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
57 shares @ 92.9¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.37
$-0.54
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 73.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.81
$6.45
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
143 shares @ 57.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.34
$-52.81
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 86.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.23
$0.62
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
26 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$25.58
$0.01
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
26 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$25.11
$2.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$89.58May 18, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?$5.96May 18, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$25.56May 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$8.34May 18, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "No Kit" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$24.90May 18, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$12.20May 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$0.85May 18, 02:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 17?$16.33May 17, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 17?$0.72May 17, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 17?$4.12May 17, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 17?$2.91May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 17?$2.46May 17, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 17?$2.06May 17, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 17?$0.15May 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$10.05May 17, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 17?$2.00May 17, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 17?$2.00May 17, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "No Kit" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$4.51May 17, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "No Kit" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$4.51May 17, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 02:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".