0x6c4e5869733cfc1336ae78e45af38733c7cb62e9
0x6c4e5869733cfc1336ae78e45af38733c7cb62e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$94.19
Total PnL
$0.38
Realised
$1.90
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.80
$13.80
- YES
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
50 shares @ 22.4¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.00
$-0.20
- NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
11 shares @ 78.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.52
$0.94
- YES
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.15
$0.15
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 44.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.47
$-1.78
- NO
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
8 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.24
$0.08
- YES
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.20
$-13.80
- NO
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 97.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.77
$-0.08
- YES
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
15 shares @ 21.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.77
$-0.38
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
7 shares @ 34.1¢·now 31.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.18
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$3.82Apr 26, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$3.65Apr 26, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$1.67Apr 26, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$1.62Apr 26, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$1.26Apr 26, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $7.20Apr 26, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$1.05Apr 23, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$4.87Apr 23, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$4.02Apr 23, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$1.12Apr 23, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $15.60Apr 23, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$9.16Apr 23, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$1.82Apr 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$8.68Apr 23, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$4.10Apr 23, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$2.48Apr 23, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$9.02Apr 23, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$2.04Apr 16, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$4.20Apr 16, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$8.80Apr 16, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 00:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".