Elderly-Fry
0x6c5773e334ec895b61c3982e5078dbd7f7950d5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$41.80
Total PnL
$-32.27
Realised
$6.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
232 shares @ 8.6¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.06
$-9.94
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 6.5¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.45
$0.95
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
48 shares @ 8.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.94
$2.14
- YES
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 19.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.71
$-5.99
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
106 shares @ 18.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.59
$-15.41
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
50 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.57
$-0.68
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
16 shares @ 41.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.71
$-3.65
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.57
$-2.43
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.20
$-1.30
- YES
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
152 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.01May 14, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.02May 14, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$6.50May 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$8.25May 13, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.50May 13, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$4.44May 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.48May 3, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 11, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Apr 1, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or the US target Tehran?$0.00Apr 1, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$4.92Mar 13, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on US military by February 28?$15.00Mar 1, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$5.63Feb 21, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$5.00Feb 20, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.63Feb 19, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$6.36Jan 30, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$3.24Jan 30, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$2.98Jan 30, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military by February 28?$4.95Jan 30, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on US military by February 28?$10.77Jan 29, 16:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 19:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".