Grounded-Twist
0x6cf37cbbc607248179ef2c4ad29fd668d6faae71
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$21.44
Total PnL
$-136.65
Realised
$17.47
Win rate
100%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.65
$0.55
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?
880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.32
$0.44
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
483 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$0.48
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
312 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.94
$0.62
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 18?
1726 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.86
$-0.86
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
222 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$0.44
- YES
Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
135 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$0.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?$1.00May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 19?$0.38May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 19?$0.38May 18, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.00May 18, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 21?$0.26May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 21?$0.74May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 21?$1.00May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?$0.03May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.00May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?$1.00May 18, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.02May 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?$0.00May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.82May 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.01May 18, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?$0.00May 18, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.00May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.00May 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.06May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.02May 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.03May 18, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".